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Stacker's Odds of 50 Random Events Happening to You - Page 2

"Millions of Americans buy lottery tickets each year, even though most people know their chances of winning are slim at best. Why do they bother, when taking home the grand prize is less likely than dying in a plane crash or being struck by lightning? It's probably because humans are not particularly good at understanding probability, especially when it comes to guessing the odds of things that could happen in their lives. This deficiency is due to three very human problem-solving crutches: representativeness, availability & anchoring. Stacker took the guess work out of 50 random events to determine just how likely they are to actually happen. We sourced our information from government stats, scientific articles, & other primary documents. Keep reading to find out why expectant parents shouldn't count on due dates— & why you should be more worried about dying on your birthday than living to 100 years old." -stacker.com FYI: Creating Perfect March Madness Bracket: 1 in 9.2 quintillion
286 users · 2,870 views
 
from stacker.com · made by SteveAzo
avg. score: 9 of 50 (18%)
required scores: 1, 4, 7, 10, 14 

How many have happened to you/someone you know?

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41
Catching a Shiny Pokemon: 1 in 8,192
Catching a Shiny Pokemon: 1 in 8,192
42
That Your Birth Control Fails: ~1 in 8 (Latex Condoms) to ~1 in 14 (Birth Control Pills)
That Your Birth Control Fails: ~1 in 8 (Latex Condoms) to ~1 in 14 (Birth Control Pills)
43
Catching a Foul Ball: 1 in 835
Catching a Foul Ball: 1 in 835
44
Being Dealt a Royal Flush: 1 in 649,740
Being Dealt a Royal Flush: 1 in 649,740
45
Being Born on Leap Day: 1 in 1,461
Being Born on Leap Day: 1 in 1,461
46
Keeping Your Wisdom Teeth: ~1 in 7
Keeping Your Wisdom Teeth: ~1 in 7
47
That There Is Alien Life: 45% Chance (Bayesian Analysis)
That There Is Alien Life: 45% Chance (Bayesian Analysis)
48
Giving Birth on Your Due Date: ~1 in 20
Giving Birth on Your Due Date: ~1 in 20
49
Creating a Perfect March Madness Bracket:  Forbes Places It at 1 in 9.2 Quintillion:
Creating a Perfect March Madness Bracket: Forbes Places It at 1 in 9.2 Quintillion:
50
Being Born: 1 in 5.5 Trillion Chances of Any One Human Existing at All
Being Born: 1 in 5.5 Trillion Chances of Any One Human Existing at All
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